RBNZ cuts 25bps, turns neutral; data flow turns up.

The main local event last week was the RBNZ’s final OCR review and Monetary…

01 Dec 2025 Weekly Commentary

Does the RBNZ feel the need to boost the run-rate?

Economic data continue to be mixed ahead of the last RBNZ interest rate meeting…

24 Nov 2025 Weekly Commentary

The jalopy is struggling in the mud

Data last week continued to be mixed. We saw further encouraging signs…

17 Nov 2025 Weekly Commentary

Labour market soft, but with some green shoots

The September quarter labour market surveys were as subdued as expected…

10 Nov 2025 Weekly Commentary

Running rough

Last week we released our final Economic Overview for 2025 with…

03 Nov 2025 Weekly Commentary

NZ labour market preview, Q3 2025

We expect the unemployment rate to rise from 5.2% to 5.3% for the September quarter…

30 Oct 2025 Economic data and RBNZ

GDP insights, October 2025

Quarterly GDP growth has been unusually volatile in recent times…

29 Oct 2025 Economic data and RBNZ

3% inflation not a barrier to another RBNZ rate cut

Inflation in New Zealand has picked up again, rising to 3% in the year…

28 Oct 2025 Weekly Commentary

Economic conditions still soggy

The New Zealand economy is still looking sluggish. The latest updates…

20 Oct 2025 Weekly Commentary

NZ CPI preview, Q3 2025

We estimate that New Zealand consumer prices rose by 1.0% in the September…

16 Oct 2025 Economic data and RBNZ

Breaking the spell

The Reserve Bank delivered the 50bps OCR cut that we were expecting…

13 Oct 2025 Weekly Commentary

RBNZ October 2025 Monetary Policy Review

As we expected, the RBNZ cut the OCR by 50bps to 2.50%...

08 Oct 2025 Economic data and RBNZ