Restoring the RBNZ’s dual mandate: mechanics and possible implications

The next general election will take place on 7 November. Current polling is very...

16 Sep 2026 Economic data and RBNZ

Four seasons in one day

The most recent data continues to show that the New Zealand economy has held...

14 Sep 2026 Weekly Commentary

Cruel summer

A strong El Niño is developing and could intensify further, raising the risk of hot...

11 Sep 2026 Research papers

Dogged persistence

We expect a 0.2% rise in GDP for the June quarter. That’s an improvement on our earlier...

09 Sep 2026 Economic data and RBNZ

RBNZ to pause in October, but hike in time for Christmas

As expected, the RBNZ hiked the Official Cash Rate by 25bps at last week’s meeting...

07 Sep 2026 Weekly Commentary

An appropriately balanced statement

As expected by Westpac and the market, the RBNZ lifted the OCR by 25bps to 2.75%...

02 Sep 2026 Economic data and RBNZ

Shaking it off

Our new Economic Overview depicts a recovering economy after a pause at the height of the Iran war. Growth is expected...

31 Aug 2026 Weekly Commentary

Economic Overview: Shaking it off

The economy appears to have weathered the disruptions stemming from the Iran war...

27 Aug 2026 Economic Overview

Preview of RBNZ September 2026 Monetary Policy Statement

We expect the RBNZ to raise the OCR by 25bp to 2.75% at its 2 September meeting...

26 Aug 2026 Economic data and RBNZ

The NZ-India Free Trade Agreement

The NZ/India FTA, currently in the process of being ratified, offers measurable benefits…

24 Aug 2026 Research papers

Counting down the days

Last week saw a handful of data releases, with no decisive signals for the RBNZ as it approaches…

24 Aug 2026 Weekly Commentary

Political drama and mixed data

While much of the focus remains on developments offshore, over the past week market...

17 Aug 2026 Weekly Commentary