NZ GDP review, Q1 2020 – A taste of what’s to come

GDP fell by 1.6% in the March quarter, the biggest quarterly drop since 1991...

18 Jun 2020 Economic data and RBNZ

NZ Dairy Update

We have lifted our 2020/21 farmgate milk price forecast by 20 cents to $6.50/kg...

17 Jun 2020 Agri

Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence

With Covid-19 pushing the economy into a deep recession, consumer confidence...

16 Jun 2020 Confidence surveys

Home Truths

After the Covid-19 crisis broke, we forecast that New Zealand house prices...

15 Jun 2020 Housing

Go hard, go early, then go shopping

We have upgraded our activity, exchange rate and inflation forecasts in response...

15 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

Preview of NZ GDP and current account, Q1 2020

We expect a 1% drop in GDP for the March quarter. The lockdown in the last week of...

12 Jun 2020 Economic data and RBNZ

A little less bad, for now

The COVID hit to the economy over coming years is going to be very large...

08 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

NZ Dairy Update

Last night’s GlobalDairyTrade auction resulted in little change in the headline...

03 Jun 2020 Agri

How severe?

There was a definite bounce in the economy after the Alert Level 4 lockdown...

02 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

An impending double dip for the construction sector

The construction sector is currently springing back to life as the lockdown is...

26 May 2020 Research papers

A matter of when, not if

The Reserve Bank has succeeded in bringing interest rates down, but if it’s to...

25 May 2020 Weekly Commentary

A matter of when, not if – updated RBNZ forecasts

We now expect the RBNZ will reduce the OCR to -0.5% in April 2021...

21 May 2020 Economic data and RBNZ