Economic research & market strategy
Here you will find economic research, strategy and forecasts direct from our specialists.
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Weekly coverage of recent and upcoming economic and market events.
Weekly Forex and Interest Rate Outlook
Weekly coverage of rates and key themes influencing currency and interest rates.
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Economic Data Reports
Previews and reviews of the latest economic data releases.
RBNZ OCR Review July 2015 - Down to the waterline - 23 July 2015
As expected, the RBNZ cut the OCR 25 basis points and signalled more to come.
Home Truths: Westpac's monthly commentary on the NZ housing market - 22 July 2015
The latest data show Auckland's house prices are "going vertical", while other regions stagnate. Recent policy changes may alter that mix.
How low will it go - RBNZ OCR preview July 2015 - 21 July 2015
Our base case is a 25bps OCR cut on Thursday, but there is a clear risk of a 50bps cut.
Pump priming - NZ Consumer Price Index review, Q2 2015 - 16 July 2015
Domestic inflation pressures remain very subdued, leaving the Reserve Bank increasingly reliant on a weaker NZD in order to achieve its inflation target. We now expect the OCR to be reduced to 2% by the end of this year.
Fortnightly Agri Update - 16 July 2015
The latest developments in New Zealand's agri markets.
Fill 'er up - NZ Consumer Price Index preview, Q2 2015 - 10 July 2015
We expect a 0.7% rise in the June quarter CPI, lifting annual inflation to a still-subdued 0.5%. The steep drop in fuel prices last quarter has largely been reversed, but elsewhere inflation pressures remain soft and the effects of a weaker New Zealand dollar will take some time.
NZ Local Knowledge - 7 July 2015
The New Zealand economy has held up better than the market gloom would suggest, though its momentum remains somewhat housing-centric.