Economic reports archive

Weekly Commentary and Interest Rate Outlook

Weekly coverage of recent and upcoming economic and market events.

Weekly Commentary

11 March 2013
4 March 2013
25 February 2013
18 February 2013
11 February 2013
4 February 2013
29 January 2013
21 January 2013
14 January 2013

Interest Rate Outlook

11 March 2013
4 March 2013
25 February 2013
18 February 2013
11 February 2013
4 February 2013
29 January 2013
21 January 2013
14 January 2013

Economic Data Reports

Previews and reviews of the latest economic data releases and topical issues.

Economic Data

Q3 GDP Review
Q3 Current Account
Q3 GDP Preview
Q3 Current Account Preview
Q3 Terms of TradeQ3 Real Retail Sales
Q3 HLFS Review
Q3 Employment Review
Q3 Employment Preview
Q3 CPI Review
Q3 CPI Preview
Q3 NZIER QSBO
Q2 GDP Review
Q2 Current Account Deficit
Q2 GDP Preview
Q2 Current Account Preview
Q2 CPI Review 2011
Q1 GDP Preview 2011
Q2 Terms of Trade
National Employment indicator
Q2 Retail Sales
Q2 HLFS Review
Q2 LCI QES Review
Q2 Labour Market Preview
Q1 GDP Review
Q1 Current Account Review
Q1 Current Account Preview
Q1 Retail Sales
Terms of Trade
Q1 HLFS Review
Q1 LCI and QES Review
Q1 Labour market Preview
Q1 CPI Review
Q1 CPI Preview
Q1 QSBO Review
Q4 GDP Review
Q4 Current Account Review
Q4 GDP Preview
Q4 Terms of Trade Review
Q4 Retail Sales Review
Q4 labour market review
Q4 labour market preview
Q4 CPI Review
Q4 CPI Preview
Q4 QSBO Review

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates

NZD_AUD Model Update
Q4 MPS Review
Q4 MPS Preview
OCR Review October
Q3 MPS Review
RBNZ on hold 2011
Q2 MPS Review 2011
Q2 MPS Preview 2011
Q3 MPS Preview
Q1 MPS Review
Q1 MPS Preview
OCR Review July
 Q2 OCR Review
Q2 OCR Preview

Government

Pre-Election Economic Update
NZ Budget 2011
NZ Budget 2011Preview

Deeper Insights

Construction Sector Review
NZD_AUD Model Update
Turning Tide
A matter of Exchange
National Employment indicator
Digesting Dairy Prices
Ear to the ground
US Fiscal Folly
Disasters in history
Forestry Sector Overview
Shape of things to come

In-depth review of topical issues.

Deeper insights

• Construction Sector Review
• NZD_AUD Model Update
• Turning Tide
• A matter of Exchange
• National Employment indicator
• Digesting Dairy Prices
• Ear to the ground
• US Fiscal Folly
• Disasters in history
• Forestry Sector Overview
• Shape of things to come

2008

• When greed turn to fear
• The grass will be greener
• The rules have changed
• Falling net migration
• NZ housing demand / supply balance
• Housing Equity withdrawal and its impact
• More for less
• Outlook for NZ house prices
• Big bang vs creationism
• Long life milk
• Nation building

2007

• The will to work
• Taxing times (and mortgages)
• Household debt: why it has soared
• Rent apart
• Bubble, Schmubble
• House values: shifting foundations
• Creaming it
• You can't always get what you want
• Finance Company Stakeout
• Converting milk to cashflow
• NZD/AUD forecasting model
• Outlook for NZ house prices
• Housing down, but inflation not out

2006

• A misleading rev counter
• Inflation Expectations and the OCR
• Great Expectations
• NZ Labour market: purging the excesses

2004

• Monetary policy: would you like fries with that?

NZ Occasional Papers

NZD/AUD forecasting model
Submission to monetary policy inquiry 2007
Labour force participation in NZ
NZ inflation expectations
A Global Interest Rate Model
Explaining the NZ-Australian exchange rate
Trans-tasman interest rates
Saving and investment in NZ

Economic Overview

Quarterly publication providing an in-depth economic outlook, topical issues and forecasts.

November 2011
July 2011
April 2011
January 2011

Retail Outlook

Quarterly focus on retail developments, trends and outlook.

November 2011
August 2011
May 2011
January 2011

AgriBiz

Quarterly focus on rural developments, trends and outlook.

October 2011
June 2011
March 0211
December 2010